Real Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1976 |
CAR
0 - 1
VAD
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
DEP
1 - 0
VAD
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
VAD
4 - 0
PUE
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1976 |
VAD
1 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
VAD
2 - 0
REC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 1
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
ENS
1 - 0
RAY
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 4
MAL
39%
31%
31%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
CAD
2 - 0
RAY
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAS
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |