Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-1
Real Valladolid vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
2 - 0
MLL
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 1
VAD
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
3 - 1
RMA
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 1
VAD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
VAD
0 - 4
SEV
45%
23%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
1 - 1
RSO
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SSC
1 - 1
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
DEP
2 - 1
CDO
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CDO
4 - 1
SAB
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |