Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-1
Real Valladolid vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 1
VAD
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
VAD
4 - 0
REC
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PUE
2 - 1
VAD
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
VAD
0 - 1
RAY
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
CAD
5 - 0
VAD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
CUL
2 - 0
OSA
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
OSA
4 - 1
RUN
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
LON
0 - 1
OSA
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
OSA
1 - 1
MIR
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
RSO
0 - 1
OSA
35%
31%
34%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |