Real Valladolid vs CD Nacional de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
VAD
2 - 1
SLA
47%
22%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
SPO
8 - 1
VAD
72%
15%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
NAM
3 - 0
VAD
48%
21%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
ZAR
3 - 0
VAD
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
VAD
4 - 1
USC
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
SPO
4 - 1
NAM
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
SLA
2 - 2
NAM
69%
16%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
NAM
3 - 0
VAD
48%
21%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
AVI
5 - 1
NAM
56%
20%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZAR
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |