Real Valladolid vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
3 - 2
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
55%
21%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 2
CEL
35%
22%
42%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAD
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 2
HER
41%
23%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 2
JFC
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
RMA
5 - 3
JFC
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1943 |
JFC
1 - 1
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 1
CON
53%
21%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |