Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-6
Real Valladolid vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
11.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 0
MEL
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
MEL
1 - 0
VAD
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
4 - 0
VAD
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
PON
1 - 2
VAD
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
ELC
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
83%
10%
6%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |