Real Valladolid vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
VAD
5 - 0
ANT
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
VAD
2 - 1
DEP
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAD
55%
20%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
VAD
5 - 3
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
VAL
8 - 3
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 1
BET
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 3
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1948 |
VAL
5 - 0
GRA
50%
21%
28%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
GRA
2 - 0
BAD
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
MAL
2 - 2
GRA
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |