Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-1
Real Valladolid vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
ELC
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PON
2 - 2
VAD
22%
27%
52%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
LOR
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
ELC
0 - 1
VAD
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VAD
2 - 3
SLA
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 1
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 3
ATH
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VCF
4 - 0
GIM
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 2
RAC
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
OSA
2 - 0
GIM
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |