Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Real Valladolid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 0
VAD
20%
26%
55%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VAD
3 - 0
UDL
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
VAD
15%
25%
60%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALB
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ELC
2 - 2
VAD
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
LEV
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MLL
0 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RSO
1 - 0
ESP
32%
29%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 0
OSA
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |