Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-2
Real Valladolid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
VAD
1 - 5
FCB
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAD
72%
18%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
VAD
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
VAD
0 - 0
SPO
51%
28%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
OSA
2 - 1
VAD
54%
27%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
ESP
3 - 0
MLL
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
SEV
1 - 1
ESP
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
VAD
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAS
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
FCB
5 - 2
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |