Real Valladolid vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 1
VAD
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
80%
11%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
29%
23%
48%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
VCF
6 - 2
VAD
80%
11%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
41%
23%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SAB
2 - 0
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |