Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Real Valladolid vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
VAD
2 - 0
ATM
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
LOG
1 - 0
VAD
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
VAD
0 - 1
CEL
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
HAM
0 - 1
VAD
14%
24%
62%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
CDT
0 - 0
VAD
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
GAI
0 - 0
DJU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1989 |
DJU
5 - 0
ULU
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
DJU
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
GIF
2 - 2
DJU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
ULU
0 - 0
DJU
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |