Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-5
Real Valladolid vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
VAD
1 - 2
SEV
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
CDO
0 - 0
VAD
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
VAD
1 - 1
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ALA
2 - 1
VAD
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
VAD
2 - 0
REC
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
CAL
2 - 2
CON
52%
27%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
CON
2 - 1
IBI
55%
28%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
VIN
0 - 3
CON
59%
25%
16%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
CON
3 - 1
PBL
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
OLI
2 - 0
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |