Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 0-4
Real Valladolid vs Logroño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAD
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
VAD
3 - 2
RCM
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 1
VAD
41%
23%
35%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
VAD
1 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Logroño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 8
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
LOG
7 - 0
LEO
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
LOG
6 - 0
AUR
83%
10%
6%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
BAR
2 - 0
LOG
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
LOG
6 - 1
ZAR
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |