Real Valladolid vs Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
UDL
2 - 2
VAD
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
DEP
4 - 1
VAD
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
SPO
65%
22%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 0
NUM
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAD
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
CIU
1 - 0
XER
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
CIU
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CIU
1 - 0
SLA
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
UDL
0 - 1
CIU
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
CIU
3 - 1
SPO
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |