Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-2
Real Valladolid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 0
VAD
86%
9%
5%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
VAD
4 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
VCF
5 - 1
VAD
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
VAD
2 - 2
RMA
29%
23%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
SEV
4 - 1
VAD
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 1
SEV
37%
23%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
VAD
4 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALA
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEL
87%
8%
5%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |