Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-4
Real Valladolid vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAD
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SDC
1 - 2
VAD
44%
21%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VAD
5 - 0
JFC
70%
17%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
RSO
4 - 4
VAD
67%
16%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
SAB
2 - 1
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ATM
3 - 1
CEL
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
5 - 0
CAS
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BET
1 - 3
CEL
31%
22%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
3 - 2
ZAR
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |