Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 4-1
Real Valladolid vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1994 |
CDT
1 - 0
VAD
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
VAD
0 - 0
CEL
48%
29%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
VCF
5 - 1
VAD
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
VAD
2 - 0
LOG
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
RAY
0 - 1
VAD
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1994 |
CDT
1 - 0
VAD
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
FCB
0 - 1
CDT
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
CDT
5 - 2
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
ATH
1 - 1
CDT
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
EIB
1 - 0
CDT
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |