Real Valladolid vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FCB
0 - 1
VAD
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
VAD
4 - 0
OSA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CEL
1 - 0
VAD
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
VAD
2 - 0
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
CDT
1 - 1
VAD
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAS
2 - 0
MUR
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
ENS
1 - 0
CAS
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAL
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
CAD
2 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
REC
4 - 1
CAS
43%
28%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |