Real Valladolid vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
VAD
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
VAD
1 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
BAD
2 - 2
VAD
43%
23%
33%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VAD
5 - 0
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
HER
6 - 2
VAD
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
CAS
0 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
CAS
2 - 0
RCF
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
MUR
4 - 1
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
CAS
2 - 2
VAL
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
BAD
4 - 1
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |