Real Valladolid vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAD
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VAD
3 - 0
HUE
72%
18%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
XER
0 - 4
VAD
31%
26%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VAD
2 - 1
UDL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUM
1 - 4
VAD
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALM
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEL
20%
26%
55%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
GIR
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |