Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
Real Valladolid vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 1
VAD
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
CAD
2 - 0
VAD
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
VAD
5 - 1
RAY
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
MLL
0 - 0
VAD
44%
30%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
VAD
4 - 2
UES
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
CAL
1 - 0
GAN
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
CAL
54%
28%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
61%
25%
14%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
CAL
3 - 0
TOR
57%
22%
20%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDM
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |