Real Valladolid vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CDO
1 - 0
VAD
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VAD
2 - 0
DEP
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
SAB
4 - 3
VAD
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
VAD
3 - 1
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
CUL
2 - 1
VAD
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 0
OSA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CCF
4 - 2
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
RAY
2 - 0
BUR
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BUR
2 - 2
BET
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |