Real Valladolid vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
CEL
4 - 1
VAD
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
VAD
5 - 0
CUL
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BAS
2 - 0
VAD
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VAD
2 - 0
SFE
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
SLA
3 - 0
VAD
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
BUR
3 - 0
ATB
64%
18%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ALA
2 - 2
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 2
SPO
45%
23%
33%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 3
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CEL
4 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |