Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Real Valladolid vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
VAD
2 - 2
RSO
48%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 1
VAD
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAD
6 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAD
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
VCF
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 0
BET
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BET
2 - 0
RSO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 0
BET
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BET
2 - 4
ATM
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |