Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Valladolid vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 1
VAD
70%
15%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RCF
2 - 2
VAD
69%
16%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
VAD
5 - 0
RCF
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
VAD
2 - 1
SLA
57%
20%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SLA
1 - 3
VAD
65%
17%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 1
VAD
70%
15%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 2
ALA
51%
20%
29%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ALA
1 - 1
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
11 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ARE
1 - 4
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |