Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-5
Real Valladolid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATM
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 3
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 1
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATM
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 3
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
VCF
4 - 4
ATM
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
45%
21%
33%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |