Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-7
Real Valladolid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 4
VAD
39%
24%
38%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
2 - 0
LLE
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
RSO
5 - 2
VAD
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
57%
19%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ATM
5 - 2
DEP
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATM
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ATM
7 - 1
LLE
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |