Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-2
Real Valladolid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
VAD
3 - 2
RCM
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 1
VAD
41%
23%
35%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
VAD
1 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
GIJ
2 - 2
VAD
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
VAD
3 - 1
NAM
84%
11%
6%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ATM
4 - 1
ISC
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
4 - 1
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
ATM
5 - 1
BET
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATM
44%
21%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
ATM
6 - 1
MUR
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |