Real Valladolid vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 3
VAD
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAD
4 - 1
ZAR
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
VAD
2 - 0
PEÑ
91%
7%
2%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
2 - 1
VAD
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
VAD
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
ALA
2 - 0
ORI
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ALA
1 - 1
CEL
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
REC
2 - 0
ALA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALA
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ALA
4 - 0
MUR
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |