Vålerenga II vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
10º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
ORN
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 5
FRA
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
KJE
2 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
AAL
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 2
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 4
NOT
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
GRO
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 4
STR
16%
20%
65%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |