Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-0
Valerenga IF vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
2 - 0
TRO
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
2 - 2
STR
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
VIF
1 - 2
MFK
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
IKS
0 - 2
VIF
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
VIF
2 - 0
S08
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ULI
1 - 2
MIK
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 1
GAN
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 0
MIK
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 2
MIK
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |