Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-6
Valerenga IF vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
VIF
2 - 2
VKG
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
SKH
1 - 1
VIF
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1981 |
VIF
0 - 1
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1981 |
LSK
0 - 2
VIF
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
STA
2 - 0
WAR
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
WAR
1 - 0
GÓR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
WLO
2 - 0
WAR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
WAR
1 - 0
RCH
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
ARK
1 - 1
WAR
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |