Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Valerenga IF vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1965 |
HOM
1 - 0
VIF
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
STE
0 - 0
VIF
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
VIF
3 - 2
FRI
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
ODD
1 - 2
VIF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1965 |
VIF
3 - 2
SAR
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
HOM
5 - 2
MHE
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1965 |
HOM
1 - 0
VIF
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
PAR
3 - 3
HOM
25%
22%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
CEL
5 - 2
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |