Valenzana Calcio vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
65.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOL
47%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |