Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
8º
39
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valentine Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
MAI
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
BRO
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
WBE
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
CHU
57%
19%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
NLE
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 1
CHA
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 0
HAM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 0
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |