Valenciennes U19 vs Montfermeil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
5º
39
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 1
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIL
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 0
VAL
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DKQ
2 - 2
VAL
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
DKQ
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AMI
3 - 0
MON
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LEN
31%
21%
47%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REI
2 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
5 - 1
CAE
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |