Valenciennes II vs US Pays de Cassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
12º
11º
44
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
VAL
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEN
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AAC
2 - 3
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 3
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
USM
2 - 1
VAL
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
US Pays de Cassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 2
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VIM
3 - 0
PDC
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 7
PSG
1%
5%
94%
|
16 | 91 | 75 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PDC
1 - 1
ESW
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PDC
1 - 1
DRA
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |