Valenciennes II vs OCPAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+629%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
12º
11º
7
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
44.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 1
VAL
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
RCC
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 1
VAL
57%
20%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
OCPAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OCP
3 - 3
VIM
23%
21%
55%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
REI
1 - 3
OCP
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OCP
4 - 1
IRI
13%
19%
68%
|
6 | 34 | 28 | +8 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 0
OCP
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | -1 |