Valenciennes II vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AUL
1 - 1
VAL
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
NOI
58%
23%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
VAL
32%
27%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AMI
3 - 0
VAL
38%
27%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
BOU
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
OLY
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 4
SML
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SML
0 - 0
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 2
SML
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AIL
0 - 0
SML
15%
19%
67%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |