Valenciennes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1966 |
ANG
3 - 1
VAL
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 0
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
LIL
1 - 0
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 0
REI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
ASS
3 - 1
VAL
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
TFC
3 - 0
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
NAN
2 - 2
TFC
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
TFC
1 - 1
REN
46%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SED
1 - 0
TFC
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
ARG
5 - 1
TFC
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |