Valenciennes vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 4
PFC
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 0
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
VAL
5%
12%
83%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
GRE
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TOU
0 - 2
VAL
8%
17%
76%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
STR
0 - 2
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 3
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
STR
5 - 2
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
STR
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
STR
1 - 1
REI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |