Valenciennes vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 0
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ASS
4 - 0
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 0
NAN
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1968 |
MON
0 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
2 - 1
SOC
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MAR
0 - 3
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 1
MAR
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
MAR
2 - 0
GOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
MAR
4 - 1
SED
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1968 |
SOC
3 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |