Valenciennes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAL
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUX
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
VAL
40%
29%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
REN
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 2
ARL
68%
22%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
NIC
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 4
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |