Valenciennes vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NIC
0 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
LYO
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
FCR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
STR
1 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 2
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
STR
1 - 0
NAN
44%
26%
29%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1978 |
PSG
0 - 1
NAN
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NAN
3 - 1
REI
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |