Valenciennes vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ASS
4 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIR
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 2
ASN
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ASN
1 - 2
MAR
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
ASN
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 2
LOR
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |