Valenciennes vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 1
GIR
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
LYO
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ASS
5 - 1
VAL
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
MPL
0 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
MPL
2 - 1
NIC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
NAN
7 - 0
MPL
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
MPL
3 - 0
ASN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 1
MPL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |