Valenciennes vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 3
SÈT
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CSL
1 - 1
VAL
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 3
VAL
6%
15%
79%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCL
0 - 1
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
REN
1 - 0
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |