Valenciennes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
TRO
2 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 2
STL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
PSG
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
VAL
3 - 2
GIR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
MET
0 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
STL
1 - 1
MET
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
MET
0 - 1
LEN
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
GIR
3 - 3
MET
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
MET
2 - 2
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |