Valenciennes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
0 - 2
NÎM
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1969 |
LYO
1 - 0
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
VAL
1 - 4
GIR
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
SOC
6 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
VAL
2 - 0
RED
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1969 |
MET
4 - 1
GIR
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
NÎM
2 - 1
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
MET
2 - 1
ANG
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
SED
0 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
NAP
2 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |